1. Exotic Betting Pdf

Jul 23, 2013 - For many, though, the game is not the same without the opportunity to place a little (or even a big) wager on the outcome. Whether legal or not, betting is ubiquitous in. Given the prevalence of betting and the money at stake, it is worth considering how we pick sides. What is the best method for predicting a.Missing. Jan 28, 2018. Many people bet just for the sake of betting and without a defined purpose. But losing money. Football Betting System. Preview/pdf /i. Hi, in a standard Football Cash Generator we lay the draw covering the 0-0 score. After the first goal we green (back the draw) hoping to have a profit as a final result. We select matches with 0-0 more than 17, draw odds up to 3.8 and home and guest back prices not less than 2.2. Another situation could.Missing.

Football Betting Tips Tired of losing to your bookie every weekend? We've put together a tip sheet to help you increase your chances of winning each weekend. It gets old paying the book.

Collect for once and make it a habit. Note: If you came here looking for football picks against the spread, please go here:. Read all the crap on this site about capping games, how to bet, etc even if it seems boring. It'll educate the heck out of ya and change your luck. We lost our asses for YEARS before we even got a sniff of winning. This website is dedicated to those that got tired of paying the book and changed over to a new leaf and learned how to be disciplined and EDUCATED.

Knowledge is power baby. Read it and increase your winning percentage today! Quit being part of your man's cadillac payment and smoke that bookie! Listed below are some great tips to consider before placing your bets. Make sure that your playing with a good sportsbook.

If yours sucks any reason whatsoever getcha a better one by checking out our page which features the cream of the crop on the internet, bar none. Bet on bad teams.

Yep, that's right! Bet on crappy teams. That's where the money is. Good teams win, bad teams cover. The sooner you figure this out the better off you'll be.

Football wagering operates using a point spread. Straight up winners don't mean jack here brother. It's all about the almighty spread! Keep records. At midseason take a real long look at what kind of bets your winning and losing.

Drop what isn't working and stick with what is. We don't have a crystal ball but we bet your getting killed on parlays and teasers! We been there! Exercise proper money management.

If your throwing your whole bankroll away every week betting every game on the card, your going to get killed long term and probably short term. Bet small amounts so you can stay in the game.

Exotic Betting Pdf

The double up theory whether your ahead or behind just doesn't work. Sure looks easy though don't it? Bet the same amount on every game. I don't care if you think it's the best game of the century.

No one game should be weighted more than another. What's even worse is your solid plays usually end up losing more than your regular plays. The lines the bookies put out are made to try to dupe your perception.

A good rule of thumb is that if it looks too good to be true, IT PROBABLY IS! Don't chase losses or expect MNF to be a bailout game for you.

Losses run faster than you do and you ain't gonna catch them. The only way to undig yourself is to thoroughly handicap a game and make good solid selections based on good solid information. Check how the weather including the wind is treating the venue in which the game will be played. There is nothing worse than betting an over, sitting down in your cozy chair with a frosty to turn on the tv and see a blistering hurricane going on at the field in which both teams are going to run the ball every down which burns up clock and are perennial over killers. It happens and its sickening! Check weather reports and bet accordingly! Don't listen to what the sportscasters on ESPN say.

They may work for a sports station but their just pigeons reading off a teleprompter. These guys aint handicappers are many are even degeneate gamblers. Lee Corso is fun to listen to but he can't pick his way out of a wet paper bag! Get yourself multiple and shop for the best lines and odds for each game that you bet. You compare prices when you are shopping for a loaf of bread, why not on a game in which there is more at stake? Learn how to bet on NFL totals. Here's a little secret that most don't pick off.

The betting limits on totals are lesser than sides. Because their easier to beat! An astute football handicapper can nail down gaudy numbers such as 65% or better solely betting on totals. Take your systems and flush them down the toilet. We've heard them all and none of them work.

If they did, winning long term sports bettors would rate a hell of a lot higher than the current 3% that do! Join a and exchange information with people from around the nation. There are some bright minds out there that post their picks for free, many which are better than the pros. Conversely, there's some real horrible amateurs out there that post which are truly horrible. If you fade their picks you have a good shot of hitting in the high fifty percentile range which makes you look like a genius and will have your bookie scratching his head. Handicap the games.

Don't just make a blind pick based on who you think is going to win. If your tired of losing, theres some decent sports services out there as well. See our section for a list of Pro Cappers that we endorse. Know what are in the NFL and how you can benefit from knowing what they are. Surely a must know for the serious bettor.

Educating yourself on this topic can save you a bunch of half point losses over the course of the season which may mean the difference between being a winning or losing sports gambler. Pay close attention to injuries. Not just RB's and QB's. We're talking linemen. The battle is won in the trenches. If a major lineman is out, ESPECIALLY A CENTER on the offensive side of the ball, this is info you want to know about ahead of time and not on the wrong side of. The Center is VERY important to a teams success (timing is huge.) 16.

Don't bet over your head. Create a bankroll and only bet a certain percentage of it each week. Don't play any one game for more than 5% of your total roll. Track your results. One of the keys to success is figuring out what you're good at and what you're bad. Check out Evan's article on. Here's a huge tip for you.

Did you know that you can bet on NFL games at -105 instead of -110? Check it out. Dumping your book and wagering at discount odds will save you THOUSANDS of dollars! Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. Free premium plays from the 'real' expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.

We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays. We examine 'the chalk' and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.

We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays! - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season. Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on.

Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win.

Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records. Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them. We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!

- The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden! Did we mention that their FREE? - Jay breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction). Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50.

Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too! Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!

- Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!

- Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash! - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $200 in FREE bonus cash! Regarded by many as the most trusted betting site on the web!

(Online since 1996!) - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online! Featured Articles. If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever! - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!

- A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF. Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more! - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league. Predictem.com provides NFL handicapping and American football betting information and should be considered for entertainment purposes only. We are not a sportsbook nor do we take bets. There is always risk involved when placing bets of any kind.

Our pro football picks usually beat the spread long term, but as with anything gambling related, there is no such thing as a lock and there is always risk invovled when placing bets of any kind. Furthermore, you should always check with your local, state and federal government to insure that partaking in online gambling is legal within your jurisdiction. Copyright 2006-2018 Predictem.com. All Rights Reserved.All information is for viewers 18+. If you think that you have a gambling problem please visit gambleaware.co.uk.

It's summertime. For Americans, that means baseball season and all the simple pleasures that the game affords — from peanuts and Cracker Jack to the seventh inning stretch and renditions of 'Take Me Out to the Ballgame.' For many, though, the game is not the same without the opportunity to place a little (or even a big) wager on the outcome. Whether legal or not, betting is ubiquitous in baseball, and in all other sports for that matter.

And of course betting is not even limited to sporting events: it has evolved into an international, multi-billion dollar industry. People now wager on the outcome of events like American Idol and the Miss American Pageant just as readily as they do the World Series or March Madness. Given the prevalence of betting and the money at stake, it is worth considering how we pick sides. What is the best method for predicting a winner? One might expect that, for the average person, an accurate forecast depends on the careful analysis of specific, detailed information. For example, focusing on the nitty-gritty knowledge about competing teams (e.g., batting averages, recent player injuries, coaching staff) should allow one to predict the winner of a game more effectively than relying on global impressions (e.g., overall performance of the teams in recent years). But it doesn't.

In fact, recent research by Song-Oh Yoon and colleagues at the Korea University Business School suggests that when you zero in on the details of a team or event (e.g., RBIs, unforced errors, home runs), you may weigh one of those details too heavily. For example, you might consider the number of games won by a team in a recent streak, and lose sight of the total games won this season. As a result, your judgment of the likely winner of the game is skewed, and you are less accurate in predicting the outcome of the game than someone who takes a big picture approach. In other words, it is easy to lose sight of the forest for the trees. Yoon and his research team explored the optimal process of prediction in a examining bets made on soccer matches and baseball games. In their first study, they reviewed more than one billion (yes, billion) bets placed in 2008-2010 through Korea's largest sports-betting company, '.'

They characterized the bets in one of two ways: (a) bets that involved a general prediction (i.e., win or lose), and (b) bets that involved a specific prediction (i.e., a precise score). Critically, they wanted to know which type of bet was more likely to result in an accurate prediction of the overall winner. Despite the fact that the specific bets were arguably more difficult and involved greater effort than general bets, they led to diminished success in predicting the global outcome of the game (i.e., which team won). This disadvantage was especially pronounced for games in which the favored team won. These findings suggest that adopting a holistic approach when predicting outcomes, even for multi-faceted events like sporting competitions, may be more effective than dwelling in the details. However, because these findings reflect performance in a natural setting, they are open to alternative interpretations.

For example, different kinds of people (e.g., risk-averse versus risk-seeking) may be more prone to placing different kinds of bets (e.g., general versus specific). In addition, different opportunities for reward may influence betting behavior, thus encouraging those making specific bets to take risks on unlikely outcomes. To control for these factors, Yoon's team examined betting behavior in a controlled laboratory paradigm.

In, participants were asked to make predictions about upcoming sporting events. In each study, half of the participants were randomly selected to make general win/lose predictions, while the other half were asked to make specific score predictions. The dependent measure was the same for both groups: Could they predict the winners? The pattern of performance across the three studies was remarkably consistent: Participants who made general win/lose predictions were reliably better at projecting the winners of the sporting events than those who made specific score predictions. This advantage was evident regardless of whether reward opportunities were relative (i.e., only the participant with the highest overall performance received cash) or individual (participants received cash for every correct prediction). Notably, experts did outperform novices. Nonetheless, even experts were reliably better in predicting winners when making general bets than when making specific bets.

It seems that even in cases where greater knowledge may offer an advantage, the act of focusing on that knowledge can disrupt decision-making. Thus, while a lifelong baseball fan is more likely to pick the winning team than someone who has never watched a game, for either person a quick prediction about the winner is likely to be more accurate than one that follows deep reflection. Yoon's team confirmed this notion by assessing the kinds of information participants were using to make their predictions. As you might expect, those assigned to the general win/lose group reported relying on global assessments (e.g., overall impression of the teams, performance of the teams in years past) to a greater extent than those assigned to the specific score group. In addition, reliance on global information significantly predicted success for all participants. Even for those in the specific score group, use of detailed knowledge (e.g., strength of the defense, coaching talent) was not associated with better performance, while use of global information was.

These data align with lessons learned from research on basic personal decisions. Whether, or, people are and when they make their decisions quickly, without systematically analyzing their options or mulling over the reasons for their choice. The advice is thus the same whether considering complex scenarios or simple situations: Don't overthink it. Today, more than ever before, we have access to extensive data that we can consider when making complicated decisions like selecting a mutual fund or betting on a baseball series. While reviewing that information may prove useful in developing an accurate overall view of the options, the results from Yoon and colleagues suggest that focusing on the details during the decision process will prove detrimental. It is best to trust your instincts and make up your mind already. Are you a scientist who specializes in neuroscience, cognitive science, or psychology?

And have you read a recent peer-reviewed paper that you would like to write about? Please send suggestions to Mind Matters editor, a Pulitzer prize-winning journalist and regular contributor to NewYorker.com. He can be reached at garethideas AT gmail.com or Twitter.